Climate Futures, released by sustainable development organisation Forum for the Future, in collaboration with researchers from HP, analyses the social, political, economic and psychological consequences of climate change and describes how different global responses to the problem can lead to five very different worlds by 2030.Efficiency First
Rapid innovation in energy efficiency technologies has created a consumerist, low-carbon world. Yet society balances precariously on a fine point, with ever-increasing reliance on new innovations to mitigate continuing climate change.
Massive desalination plants in the Middle East and North Africa soak up energy from the sun to irrigate the desert for resource production. Wilderness exists only in a few pockets of the world.
(Download the high-res 'Efficiency first' image here)
High carbon prices have resulted in businesses rethinking their models and selling services rather than products.
Individual car ownership is prohibitive but the public transport system is highly efficient. Collective laundry services have replaced washing machines. A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global carbon emissions decline for the first year in history
(Download the high-res 'Service transformation' image here)
Redefining ProgressPeople are rethinking what it means to lead a fulfilling life.Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger links with local communities are cultivated. People are attracted to simplicity and focus much more on quality of life than economic prosperity. Climate change is well understood and viewed as one part of unsustainable living.
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Environmental War EconomyGovernments have left it late to deal with climate change and have been forced to rationalise whole industry sectors and take control of many aspects of citizens' lives.
They build dams and powerful sea wall defences to protect land from the raging oceans, yet growing numbers of environmental refugees must find new countries willing to accommodate them. Greenhouse gases are beginning to decline, but the cost to individual liberty has been great.
(Download the high-res 'Environmental war economy' image here)
Protectionist WorldThe world is divided into protectionist blocs, and countries wage violent wars over scarce resources like water. Communities are divided and cyber-terrorists take advantage of the flux, paralysing communications networks and targeting collapsed states.
(Download the high-res 'Protectionist world' image here)